Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 0.010969 0.012728 0.014669 0.016969 0.019620 0.022577 0.026125
2026-02-08 0.008218 0.010452 0.013142 0.016615 0.020977 0.026269 0.033177
2026-02-15 0.006313 0.008696 0.011789 0.016089 0.021903 0.029483 0.040110
2026-02-22 0.005350 0.007903 0.011442 0.016690 0.024258 0.034756 0.050412
2026-03-01 0.004442 0.006988 0.010733 0.016618 0.025605 0.038782 0.059538
2026-03-08 0.003616 0.006027 0.009770 0.015971 0.025947 0.041326 0.066784
2026-03-15 0.003077 0.005405 0.009205 0.015807 0.026946 0.044916 0.076024
2026-03-22 0.002823 0.005203 0.009265 0.016639 0.029624 0.051446 0.090780
2026-03-29 0.002545 0.004909 0.009116 0.017072 0.031657 0.057125 0.104791
2026-04-05 0.002185 0.004402 0.008512 0.016597 0.031998 0.059896 0.114022
2026-04-12 0.001916 0.004022 0.008079 0.016362 0.032722 0.063392 0.124938
2026-04-19 0.001662 0.003630 0.007565 0.015888 0.032909 0.065885 0.134222
2026-04-26 0.001455 0.003308 0.007150 0.015570 0.033392 0.069064 0.145382
2026-05-03 0.001293 0.003053 0.006835 0.015410 0.034172 0.072915 0.158373
2026-05-10 0.001132 0.002776 0.006433 0.015005 0.034376 0.075614 0.169313
2026-05-17 0.001068 0.002712 0.006487 0.015614 0.036861 0.083377 0.191996
2026-05-24 0.000966 0.002539 0.006270 0.015570 0.037873 0.088080 0.208535
2026-05-31 0.000842 0.002293 0.005845 0.014975 0.037525 0.089713 0.218336
2026-06-07 0.000760 0.002139 0.005619 0.014828 0.038220 0.093794 0.234295
2026-06-14 0.000735 0.002131 0.005757 0.015613 0.041298 0.103806 0.265560
2026-06-21 0.000692 0.002071 0.005750 0.016022 0.043484 0.111926 0.293179
2026-06-28 0.000617 0.001903 0.005437 0.015576 0.043403 0.114471 0.307181
2026-07-05 0.000559 0.001777 0.005219 0.015356 0.043889 0.118492 0.325438